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Maps of future environmental conditions

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  • December 13, 2017 at 2:11 pm #112500

    Anton Ellenbroek
    Member

    Dear FDI-WG Members,
    BlueBRIDGE has “mapped the future” in a harmonized set of climate forecasts and maps of biotic and abiotic parameters for use in ecological models and climate change-related analyses. The maps are based on data of the AquaMaps Consortium and the NASA Earth Exchange Platform.
    http://www.bluebridge-vres.eu/news/what%E2%80%99s-impact-climate-change-ice-concentration-and-sea-surface-temperature-bluebridge-makes
    The H2020 BlueBRIDGE project (with loads of activities releated to fisheries and geospatial data management) released 61 maps as NetCDF representations for the years 1950, 1999, 2016, 2050 and 2100 with .5° resolution at global scale. NetCDF is an interoperability-friendly and compact format that can easily be visualised (e.g. try QGIS, Unidata ToolsUI, etc).
    The maps for Sea Surface Temperature, Sea Bottom Temperature, Sea Surface Salinity, Salinity at Sea Bottom, Ice Concentration, and Primary Production were projected in the future based on the IPCC SRES A1B scenario of rapid economic and global population growth.
    For annual Average Surface Air Temperature and Precipitations forecasts, 20 general circulation models of NASA were merged for two scenarios;  medium mitigation of greenhouse gasses concentration (RCP 4.5), and high greenhouse gasses concentration (RCP 8.5).
    The data have already been presented to the “Expert meeting on climate change implications for Mediterranean and Black Sea fisheries”. They are useful in (your??) ecological niche models and in the assessment of the effects of habitats shift due to climate change on fisheries.

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